Thursday, March 15, 2007

the outline

thesis: Political violence in the form of terrorism is most prevalent in countries with more authoritarian regimes. This is because, without civil liberties like freedom of speech and the right to protest, citizens have no other way to get recognition for their cause except to become violent. However, India experiences a high amount of terrorist incidents despite the fact that Indians enjoy a vast amount of civil liberties. This terrorism can be largely attributed to the separatist groups in certain areas of India that are fighting violently for control of these regions.

**be sure to define "political openness" and "amount of freedom" and "freedom score" and "repressive government" and "democratic government"

1. intro + thesis
--explain outline of the paper as well
--explain those terms above, as well as any other weird terms i use in the paper.
2. scatter plot
--chose terrorist incidents because i thought that was the easiest way to show a certain aspect of political violence and it gives a very real way of showing the discontent of the people in the country.
--"freedom score" is an average between the political rights and civil liberties a country has according to freedom house. i feel this is a good measure of the degree of political openness a country has because, generally, if citizens get more political rights and civil liberties, the country is more democratic.
--describe results (correlation between high freedom scores and number of terrorist incidents)
3. why terrorist incidents are more likely to occur in countries that are less open politically
a. a repressive government doesn't listen to groups; there are no "openings" for groups to mobilize and act
--"what makes a social movement" 3rd quote, 1st quote
-- "cross-nat'l variation" 1st quote
--"strategic logic" 3rd quote
b. an authoritarian government never gives the people a time to change things
--with no elections, people can't kick out leaders they don't like
--doing comp politics, 1st (only) quote
--"cross nat'l variation" 2nd quote
c. a repressive government doesn't compromise with the people (this might be folded into category b)
--"strategic logic" 2nd quote
4. wtf is up with india?
5. conclusion
--as shown, there is a positive relationship between increasing freedom scores and terrorist incidents. i believe this is because more repressive governments award their citizens less freedom, and with less freedom comes more animosity. groups have resorted to terrorism because the government has not allowed them any legal, peaceful ways of protesting, and because there is no free and fair election process, these groups never get a chance to get rid of leaders they dont like or vote to change policy. India proves to be an exception to the rule, because it is democratic but also experiences a high number of terrorist incidents. These, however, aren't due to the government but instead are because there are a few separatist terrorist groups fighting for territory.

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